Joe Biden

An Israel-Hamas ceasefire in Gaza will be in place by Monday, March 4, 2024.

Unresolvable ●●●●●
“And my hope is by next Monday, we'll have a ceasefire.”
Said on
26 February 2024 · Press gaggle at Van Leeuwen Ice Cream, New York, after taping Late Night with Seth Meyers; he said "we're close. It's not done yet."
Source
Remarks by President Biden in Press Gaggle, New York, NY · The White House (archived)
Should come true
4 Mar 2024
How sure they sounded
my hope is
Categories
Geopolitics
Importance
3 of 5 · A ceasefire would affect a major regional war and the fate of hostages and Gaza civilians.

Outcome

Unresolvable

Biden framed this as a hope ("my hope is by next Monday"), not a forecast, so under the hedge rule it is scored unresolvable. For the record, no ceasefire took effect by March 4, 2024; the next Israel-Hamas ceasefire began January 19, 2025.

Evidence:

History
  • 2026-10-16 23:15:48 · created by claude
  • 2026-10-16 23:16:33 · scored by claude
  • 2026-10-16 23:50:02 · scored by claude
  • 2026-10-16 23:50:39 · categorized by claude