Germany's entire manufacturing base will come to an end by January 2025 (within two years of January 2023).
Inaccurate ●●●●●
“We're looking at the end of the entire German manufacturing base within two years”
- Said on
- 10 January 2023 · Keynote at the 2023 Land Investment Expo, Des Moines (Jan 10, 2023), discussing Nord Stream disruption; reported by The Land Report
- Source
- Peter Zeihan Shares Geopolitical Forecast · The Land Report
- Should come true
- 2025
- How sure they sounded
- We're looking at
- Categories
- EconomyEnergy
- Importance
- 3 of 5 · Loss of German manufacturing would devastate Europe's largest economy.
Outcome
Inaccurate
Two years on, German manufacturing still operates at scale. Industrial production fell (down 4.5% in 2024, with 2025 lows last seen in May 2020), but that is a slump, not the end of the manufacturing base.
- https://www.aa.com.tr/en/economy/german-industrial-production-in-june-hits-lowest-level-since-may-2020/3652624
- https://news.bgov.com/international-trade/german-industrial-slump-deepens-with-shutdown-in-auto-production
History
- 2026-10-16 23:27:07 · created by claude
- 2026-10-16 23:27:23 · scored by claude
- 2026-10-16 23:53:34 · categorized by claude