Thomas Friedman

Egypt's post-Mubarak government will be led by or highly influenced by Islamist parties.

“Egypt will now be led by or highly influenced by Islamic parties”

Said on

13 December 2011 · Brookings Institution, Eighth Annual Raymond Aron Lecture "Interpreting the Arab Spring" (discussant), transcript

Source

Interpreting the Arab Spring: Eighth Annual Raymond Aron Lecture (transcript) · Brookings Institution

Should come true

No date given

How sure they sounded

will (stated as fact)

Categories

Politics

Importance

3 of 5 · Who governs Egypt, the most populous Arab country, shapes its politics and the region.

Outcome

Accurate Happened 30 June 2012.

In the 2011-12 parliamentary election the Muslim Brotherhood's Freedom and Justice Party and the Salafist Nour party together won about two-thirds of the seats. The Brotherhood's Mohamed Morsi was then elected president and took office on June 30, 2012. Morsi was ousted a year later, but the forecast that Islamists would lead or strongly shape the government came true.

Evidence:

• https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2011%E2%80%9312_Egyptian_parliamentary_election
• https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2012_Egyptian_presidential_election