The US unemployment rate will rise toward 6% in a recession during 2023.

Inaccurate ●●●●●

“The unemployment is likely to rise towards 6%”

Said on: 20 October 2022 · CNN The Situation Room interview; he said a recession next year was substantially more likely than not
Source: Former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers says chance of recession next year is 'substantial' · CNN Business (via ABC17 News)
Should come true: 2023
How sure they sounded: likely
Categories: Economy
Importance: 3 of 5 · A jump in US unemployment would affect millions of workers nationally.

Outcome

Inaccurate

US unemployment peaked at 3.9% in 2023 and has not gone above 4.5% since (BLS). It never approached 6%, and no recession occurred (NBER).

Evidence:

History