Anthony Fauci

The full COVID-19 vaccine development process, beyond the phase 1 trial, will take at least a year to a year and a half from March 2020.

“So the whole process is going to take a year, a year and a half at least.”

Said on

3 March 2020 · Remarks with President Trump on arrival from a visit to NIH in Bethesda, Maryland, explaining phase 1 and phase 2 vaccine trials

Source

Remarks in an Exchange With Reporters Upon Arrival From Bethesda, Maryland · The American Presidency Project (UCSB)

Should come true

Sep 2021

How sure they sounded

is going to; at least

Categories

Health

Importance

4 of 5 · Vaccine timing set expectations for the global pandemic response.

Outcome

Partly right Happened 23 August 2021.

Window: 12-18 months from March 3, 2020 ("at least"). A vaccine reached the public sooner than his minimum, with an FDA emergency use authorization on December 11, 2020 (about 9 months), while full FDA approval (Comirnaty) came August 23, 2021, within the 18-month window. Mixed result: the full licensing process fit his estimate, but deployment beat his "at least a year".

Evidence:

• https://ascopost.com/issues/december-25-2020/fda-issues-emergency-use-authorization-for-first-covid-19-vaccine/
• https://www.raps.org/resource/fda-approves-comirnaty-as-first-covid-vac.html