The spring-2025 US stock market correction will not become a bear market (a 20%+ closing decline in the S&P 500) and will turn into a broader bull market.
Accurate ●●●●●
“we believe the current equity market correction is likely to stop short of a bear market and will evolve into a broader-based healthier bull market”
- Said on
- 30 April 2025 · ARK market commentary letter "The Recession Started Months Ago. Now What?"
- Source
- The Recession Started Months Ago. Now What? · ARK Invest
- Should come true
- No date given
- How sure they sounded
- we believe ... is likely
- Categories
- Markets
- Importance
- 3 of 5 · A call on the direction of the US equity market.
Outcome
Accurate Happened 27 June 2025.
The S&P 500's closing low on April 8, 2025 was about 18.9% below its February record, short of the 20% bear-market threshold (it briefly went past that level intraday), and the index set a new record on June 27, 2025. She wrote on April 30, more than three weeks after the low, when the index had already rebounded, so the call carried less risk than it seems.
- https://www.cnbc.com/2025/06/27/bull-market-officially-lives-on-with-fresh-sp-record-nears-1000-days.html
- https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/08/stock-market-today-live-updates-.html
History
- 2026-10-16 23:01:56 · created by claude
- 2026-10-16 23:02:15 · scored by claude
- 2026-10-16 23:50:06 · categorized by claude
- 2026-10-16 23:50:40 · categorized by claude
- 2026-10-16 23:51:07 · scored by claude