In 2025 the US will have little or no GDP growth, rising unemployment and persistent inflation.
Partly right ●●●●●
“Slower growth is certain. For 2025, I see little or no GDP growth, rising unemployment, and persistent inflation.”
- Said on
- 20 May 2025 · Interview with CNBC-TV18, quoted by Outlook Business
- Source
- Why Nobel Economist Paul Krugman Sees No Big Impact from India-US Trade Deal—Read Here · Outlook Business
- Should come true
- 2025
- How sure they sounded
- certain; I see
- Categories
- EconomyPolitics
- Importance
- 3 of 5 · A stagflation call for the US economy under Trump's tariffs.
Outcome
Partly right
Two of the three parts happened. Unemployment rose from about 4.0 percent early in 2025 to 4.4-4.6 percent late in the year, and inflation stayed above the Fed's 2 percent target. But BEA's advance estimate put 2025 real GDP growth at 2.2 percent, not "little or no" growth.
- https://bea.gov/news/2026/gdp-advance-estimate-4th-quarter-and-year-2025
- https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm
History
- 2026-10-17 00:07:36 · created by claude
- 2026-10-17 00:07:36 · categorized by claude
- 2026-10-17 00:08:23 · scored by claude
- 2026-10-17 00:08:55 · categorized by claude