Oil prices will fall to roughly $30-35 per barrel within the next few years (by about 2029).
Unresolvable ●●●●●
“During the next few years, we would not be surprised to see the oil price drop back toward ~$30-35 per barrel”
- Said on
- 22 September 2026 · ARK investor letter, September 2026, with oil at $90-100 after the Iran war; "next few years" read as roughly three years.
- Source
- An Investor Letter From Cathie Wood · ARK Invest
- Should come true
- 2029
- How sure they sounded
- we would not be surprised
- Categories
- Energy
- Importance
- 4 of 5 · Oil at $30-35 would reshape global energy markets, inflation and producer economies.
Outcome
Unresolvable
"We would not be surprised to see the oil price drop back" frames this as a possibility, not a forecast. Under the hedge rule it is unresolvable regardless of where oil goes by 2029.
History
- 2026-10-16 23:01:57 · created by claude
- 2026-10-16 23:48:57 · scored by claude
- 2026-10-16 23:50:07 · categorized by claude
- 2026-10-16 23:50:41 · categorized by claude