After Brexit, the UK will join NAFTA (and reinvigorate Commonwealth trade) as its replacement trade association.
Inaccurate ●●●●●
“The second is both simpler and more complicated: joining NAFTA. … The Brits will ultimately succeed at both.”
- Said on
- 4 August 2016 · Zeihan blog post "Brexit" on zeihan.com, dated Aug 4, 2016. No window stated; inferred long-run window of about 10 years.
- Source
- Brexit · zeihan.com
- Should come true
- 2020s
- How sure they sounded
- will ultimately succeed
- Categories
- GeopoliticsEconomy
- Importance
- 3 of 5 · UK membership of the North American trade bloc would reshape British trade policy.
Outcome
Inaccurate
Inferred window of about 10 years (to Aug 2026). NAFTA was replaced by the USMCA in 2020 with only the US, Mexico and Canada as parties; the UK never joined and instead acceded to the Asia-Pacific CPTPP in December 2024.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States%E2%80%93Mexico%E2%80%93Canada_Agreement
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Comprehensive_and_Progressive_Agreement_for_Trans-Pacific_Partnership
History
- 2026-10-17 06:11:29 · created by claude
- 2026-10-17 06:11:29 · categorized by claude
- 2026-10-17 06:11:41 · scored by claude