Elon Musk

Tesla's Robotaxi service will cover areas home to half the US population by the end of 2025.

“I believe half of the population of the US will be covered by Tesla’s Robotaxi by the end of the year.”

Said on

23 July 2025 · Tesla Q2 2025 earnings call

Source

Elon Musk with a straight face: Tesla Robotaxi will cover half of US population by end of the year · Electrek

Should come true

2025

How sure they sounded

I believe

Categories

Self-driving

Importance

3 of 5 · A specific scale target for driverless ride-hailing in the US.

Outcome

Inaccurate

By the end of 2025 Tesla's Robotaxi operated in only a few metro areas, nowhere near half the US population. Musk himself had scaled back to "eight to 10 metro areas" by October 2025, and by mid-2026 the service had reached only a handful of cities.

Evidence:

• https://news.bgov.com/texas-brief/teslas-robotaxi-falls-short-with-long-waits-stalled-rides
• https://electrek.co/2025/07/23/elon-musk-with-straight-face-tesla-robotaxi-will-cover-half-us-population-end-year/