Barack Obama

A deadly airborne infectious disease will emerge and require a global response (inferred window: about ten years, to end of 2024).

“There may and likely will come a time in which we have both an airborne disease that is deadly.”

Said on

2 December 2014 · Address at the National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, on Ebola vaccine research

Source

NIH Address on Ebola Vaccine Research Potential · American Rhetoric

Should come true

by 2024

How sure they sounded

may and likely will

Categories

Health

Importance

5 of 5 · A deadly airborne pandemic is a global, civilization-scale event.

Outcome

Accurate Happened 11 March 2020.

"May and likely will" puts the odds above 50%, so it counts as a forecast; no window given, so about ten years was inferred. COVID-19, a deadly airborne respiratory disease, became a pandemic in 2020, within that window.

Evidence:

• https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic