Bill Gates

By November 2006, the Tablet PC will be the best-selling form of personal computer in the United States.

“within five years I predict it will be the most popular form of PC sold in America”

Said on

11 November 2001 · Keynote at COMDEX Fall 2001, Las Vegas, unveiling Tablet PC prototypes

Source

Gates Showcases Tablet PC, Xbox at COMDEX; Says New "Digital Decade" Technologies Will Transform How We Live · Microsoft News Center

Should come true

2006

How sure they sounded

"I predict"

Categories

Technology

Importance

2 of 5 · Concerns the PC hardware market and Microsoft's product strategy.

Outcome

Inaccurate

By 2006 Tablet PCs remained a niche, expensive (~$2,000) category with limited consumer uptake and did not displace laptops or desktops as the top-selling PC form in the US. Tablets only went mainstream later, with Apple's iPad (2010), which is a different product.

Evidence:

• https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Microsoft_Tablet_PC
• https://www.tvtechnology.com/miscellaneous/tvs-doomsday-nears