The world death rate will rise substantially (in the 1970s, per the surrounding passage) because of famine.
Inaccurate ●●●●●
“At this late date nothing can prevent a substantial increase in the world death rate.”
- Said on
- 1 May 1968 · Prologue of The Population Bomb (May 1968, first of month used); sentence immediately follows the claim that hundreds of millions will starve in the 1970s, so the 1970s window is taken from that passage.
- Source
- Doomster Paul Ehrlich Unrepentant · Reason
- Should come true
- 1970s
- How sure they sounded
- nothing can prevent (certain)
- Categories
- Health
- Importance
- 4 of 5 · A reversal of the global decline in mortality would have major global consequences.
Outcome
Inaccurate
The global crude death rate kept falling, from about 13 per 1,000 in 1965-74 to about 10 per 1,000 in 1985-90, rather than rising substantially.
History
- 2026-10-16 23:13:12 · created by claude
- 2026-10-16 23:13:31 · scored by claude
- 2026-10-16 23:51:05 · categorized by claude