Before 1985 the world will enter a genuine age of resource scarcity.
Inaccurate ●●●●●
“before 1985, mankind will enter a genuine age of scarcity”
- Said on
- 1 January 1974 · The End of Affluence (1974), co-written with Anne H. Ehrlich (month unknown; Jan 1 used), as quoted in the Boston Globe obituary.
- Source
- Paul R. Ehrlich, who alarmed world with 'Population Bomb,' dies at 93 · The Boston Globe
- Should come true
- 1985
- How sure they sounded
- will (certain)
- Categories
- Economy
- Importance
- 4 of 5 · Global resource scarcity would reshape the world economy.
Outcome
Inaccurate
Window closed at the end of 1985. Instead of a genuine age of scarcity, real commodity prices fell through the 1980s; all five metals in Ehrlich's own 1980-1990 wager with Julian Simon declined in price, and world food supply per person kept rising.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Simon%E2%80%93Ehrlich_wager
- https://fee.org/articles/how-julian-simon-won-1-000-bet-with-population-bomb-author-paul-ehrlich/
History
- 2026-10-16 23:13:14 · created by claude
- 2026-10-16 23:50:06 · scored by claude
- 2026-10-16 23:51:02 · categorized by claude