Donald Trump

Under Trump's economic plan, US GDP growth will rise from about 1 percent to 4 percent a year.

“But we're bringing it from 1 percent up to 4 percent.”

Said on

19 October 2016 · Third presidential debate, Las Vegas

Source

October 19, 2016 Debate Transcript · Commission on Presidential Debates

Should come true

No date given

How sure they sounded

none (stated as fact); followed by "I actually think we can go higher"

Categories

Economy

Importance

3 of 5 · Forecast for the growth rate of the US economy.

Outcome

Inaccurate

No window was stated; as a campaign pledge the implied window is his first term (2017-2020). Annual US GDP growth never reached 4% in that term (peak about 2.9% in 2018, then a contraction in 2020); at most one quarter (Q2 2018) briefly topped 4% annualized in early estimates.

Evidence:

• https://www.factcheck.org/2019/04/conway-overstates-economic-growth
• https://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/promises/trumpometer/promise/1414/grow-economy-4-percent-year/article/2509/