The AI stock bubble will burst within about a year, i.e. by the end of September 2027 (moved up from his earlier 2028 base case).
Unresolvable ●●●●●
“the bubble in AI may burst sooner than later.”
- Said on
- 28 September 2026 · Cassandra Unchained Substack post, saying he was "moving timelines up" and switching shorts to put options
- Source
- 'Big Short' investor Michael Burry says he's 'more confident than ever' of an AI reckoning in 2027 · Business Insider (via AOL)
- Should come true
- 2027
- How sure they sounded
- may; "more confident than ever before" his thesis will play out over the next year
- Categories
- AIMarkets
- Importance
- 4 of 5 · A collapse of AI valuations and spending would hit global markets and the largest companies in the world.
Outcome
Unresolvable
The recorded quote is a possibility ("may burst sooner than later"), not a forecast, so under the hedge rule it is unresolvable. His separate "more confident than ever" remark is about his broad thesis, not a dated call that the bubble will burst.
History
- 2026-10-16 23:19:18 · created by claude
- 2026-10-16 23:48:56 · scored by claude
- 2026-10-16 23:50:45 · categorized by claude