Geoffrey Hinton

AGI/superintelligence (AI surpassing humans across domains) will arrive by April 2035.

“there's a good chance it'll be here in 10 years or less now.”

Said on

26 April 2025 · CBS Mornings interview with Brook Silva-Braga, aired April 26, 2025; answering when 'AGI, super intelligence, whatever, very capable AI system' would arrive.

Source

Transcript of Brook Silva-Braga Interviews Geoffrey Hinton on CBS Mornings · The Singju Post

Should come true

2035

How sure they sounded

there's a good chance

Categories

AI

Importance

5 of 5 · Arrival of superintelligence would be a civilization-scale event.

Outcome

Unresolvable

Hedge rule: Hinton said "there's a good chance it'll be here in 10 years or less", a possibility rather than a forecast, so it is unresolvable rather than pending. As of October 2026 no consensus AGI/superintelligence has arrived.

Evidence:

• https://singjupost.com/transcript-of-brook-silva-braga-interviews-geoffrey-hinton-on-cbs-mornings/