The People's Republic of China (Communist Party rule) will fall by the end of 2011.
Inaccurate ●●●●●
“The end of the modern Chinese state is near. The People's Republic has five years, perhaps ten, before it falls.”
- Said on
- 1 July 2001 · Introduction to his 2001 book The Coming Collapse of China (Random House); statement_date approximate to mid-2001 publication. Quote as reproduced on Wikipedia.
- Source
- The Coming Collapse of China · Wikipedia
- Should come true
- 2011
- How sure they sounded
- is near; five years, perhaps ten
- Categories
- Politics
- Importance
- 4 of 5 · Fall of the government of the world's most populous country would have major global consequences.
Outcome
Inaccurate
The People's Republic did not fall by 2011; the Communist Party held its 18th National Congress in November 2012 and installed Xi Jinping as leader. Chang himself conceded in Foreign Policy in December 2011 that the prediction was wrong.
- https://foreignpolicy.com/2011/12/29/the-coming-collapse-of-china-2012-edition/
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/18th_National_Congress_of_the_Chinese_Communist_Party
History
- 2026-10-16 23:26:20 · created by claude
- 2026-10-16 23:26:32 · scored by claude
- 2026-10-16 23:49:03 · categorized by claude