Gordon Chang

The Communist Party of China will fall from power during 2012.

“Instead of 2011, the mighty Communist Party of China will fall in 2012. Bet on it.”

Said on

29 December 2011 · Foreign Policy article "The Coming Collapse of China: 2012 Edition", after admitting his 2011 prediction was wrong.

Source

The Coming Collapse of China: 2012 Edition · Foreign Policy

Should come true

2012

How sure they sounded

will; Bet on it

Categories

Politics

Importance

4 of 5 · Collapse of China's ruling party would have major global consequences.

Outcome

Inaccurate

The Communist Party did not fall in 2012. It held an orderly leadership transition at its 18th National Congress in November 2012 and remains in power, with Xi Jinping securing a third term in 2022.

Evidence:

• https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/18th_National_Congress_of_the_Chinese_Communist_Party
• https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/20th_National_Congress_of_the_Chinese_Communist_Party