Vitalik Buterin

Rollups (rather than base-layer execution sharding) will become Ethereum's main scaling strategy in the near and mid term.

“the Ethereum ecosystem is likely to be all-in on rollups (plus some plasma and channels) as a scaling strategy for the near and mid-term future.”

Said on

2 October 2020 · Post "A rollup-centric ethereum roadmap" on the Ethereum Magicians forum

Source

A rollup-centric ethereum roadmap · Fellowship of Ethereum Magicians

Should come true

No date given

How sure they sounded

likely

Categories

Crypto

Importance

2 of 5 · Set the scaling direction for Ethereum and its layer-2 ecosystem.

Outcome

Accurate Happened 13 March 2024.

Ethereum adopted the rollup-centric roadmap: execution sharding was dropped and the Dencun upgrade (March 2024) added blob data specifically for rollups, which now carry most Ethereum-ecosystem transactions. The outcome date marks Dencun, the clearest milestone.

Evidence:

• https://ethereum.org/en/roadmap/danksharding/
• https://l2beat.com/scaling/summary