By 2009 a company based west of the Mississippi and north of the Mason-Dixon Line (Kurzweil says he meant Microsoft) will be worth more than $1 trillion in market capitalization.
Right, but late ●●●●●
“A company west of the Mississippi and north of the Mason-Dixon Line has surpassed a trillion dollars in market capitalization.”
- Said on
- 1 January 1999 · Prediction for 2009 (business and economics section) from The Age of Spiritual Machines (1999), as quoted in his 2010 self-review "How My Predictions Are Faring", where he says it referred to Microsoft.
- Source
- How My Predictions Are Faring (October 2010) · The Kurzweil Library
- Should come true
- 2009
- How sure they sounded
- none (stated as fact about 2009)
- Categories
- MarketsTechnology
- Importance
- 2 of 5 · A milestone for one company and for equity markets, without wider consequences.
Outcome
Right, but late Happened 4 September 2018.
No such company passed $1 trillion by 2009; Microsoft peaked near $0.6T in 1999-2000, and Kurzweil grades this "Wrong" himself. Seattle-based Amazon first touched $1T on 2018-09-04, and Microsoft (Redmond) passed $1T in April 2019, so the event happened about nine years late.
- https://www.cnbc.com/2018/09/04/amazon-hits-1-trillion-in-market-value.html
- https://www.thekurzweillibrary.com/images/How-My-Predictions-Are-Faring.pdf
History
- 2026-10-17 00:02:17 · created by claude
- 2026-10-17 00:02:17 · categorized by claude
- 2026-10-17 00:02:30 · scored by claude
- 2026-10-17 00:05:52 · categorized by claude