US inflation will average around 4.5%-5% over the long term (the next 10 years from 2022), well above the 2.6% markets priced.

Pending ●●●●●

“My guesstimate is that it will be around 4.5 percent to 5 percent long term, barring shocks”

Said on: 13 September 2022 · LinkedIn article, contrasting with markets discounting 2.6% inflation over the next 10 years
Source: Ray Dalio: Fed to move to 4.5%, stocks to drop by 20% · Kitco News
Should come true: 2030s
How sure they sounded: My guesstimate
Categories: Economy
Importance: 3 of 5 · Long-run US inflation affects bonds, savers and policy nationwide.

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