Predictions
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Pending ●●●●●
“I can't tell you exactly when it'll come, it's like the heart attack. You're getting closer. My guess would be three years, give or take a year, something like that.”
Said 3 Mar 2025 · Target: 2029
EconomyMarkets
Inaccurate ●●●●●
“My guesstimate that a significant economic contraction will be required, but it will take a while to happen because cash levels and wealth levels are now relatively high”
Said 13 Sep 2022 · Target: by 2025
Economy
Pending ●●●●●
“My guesstimate is that it will be around 4.5 percent to 5 percent long term, barring shocks”
Said 13 Sep 2022 · Target: 2030s
Economy
Inaccurate ●●●●●
“I estimate that a rise in rates from where they are to about 4.5 percent will produce about a 20 percent negative impact on equity prices”
Said 13 Sep 2022 · Target: by 2023
MarketsEconomy
Accurate ●●●●●
“It looks like interest rates will have to rise a lot (toward the higher end of the 4.5% to 6% range)”
Said 13 Sep 2022 · Target: by 2024
EconomyBanking
Inaccurate ●●●●●
“If you're holding cash, you're going to feel pretty stupid.”
Said 23 Jan 2018 · Target: 2018
Markets
Accurate ●●●●●
“We're going to have a lower level of growth in six months from now ... about 1.5 percent.”
Said 20 Jan 2016 · Target: Jul 2016
Economy