Michael Saylor

Research in Motion (BlackBerry) will become worthless as app-phone makers take over the smartphone market.

“RIM [Blackberry maker Research in Motion] is going to zero,”

Said on

28 June 2012 · Conversation with the Washingtonian at his book party for The Mobile Wave, June 28, 2012 (article June 29); bracketed words are the Washingtonian's insertion. No window stated; inferred ~10 years (to mid-2022)

Source

Michael Saylor's Book Party Includes a Master Class on the Tech Future · Washingtonian

Should come true

No date given

How sure they sounded

is going to

Categories

TechnologyMarkets

Importance

2 of 5 · Fate of a major smartphone company; matters to the mobile industry.

Outcome

Partly right Happened 28 September 2016.

No window stated; inferred ~10 years (to mid-2022). BlackBerry's phone business did collapse: it stopped making its own smartphones in 2016 and shut down BlackBerry OS services on Jan 4, 2022. But the company did not go to zero; it survived as a security-software firm and its shares still trade, so only a weaker version came true.

Evidence:

• https://www.bloomberglinea.com/2022/01/04/your-blackberry-dies-today-end-of-an-era-for-iconic-handset/
• https://www.khaleejtimes.com/business/tech/old-blackberry-phones-will-no-longer-work-from-january-4