Ian Bremmer

China will keep its zero-COVID strategy for at least another year (until about June 2023).

“Maybe not years, but definitely a year. I think until the Chinese government is able to get their elderly population near fully vaccinated, they're not close to that yet, and or get therapeutics that work at scale, they need zero-COVID.”

Said on

1 June 2022 · GZERO 'Ask Ian' / World In :60 answer to 'Is China still planning years of zero-COVID strategy?'

Source

More Russia-NATO confrontation ahead in Ukraine war · GZERO Media

Should come true

Jun 2023

How sure they sounded

definitely

Categories

HealthEconomyPolitics

Importance

3 of 5 · China's COVID policy drove its economy and global supply chains.

Outcome

Inaccurate Happened 7 December 2022.

China abandoned zero-COVID on 7 December 2022 after nationwide protests, about six months after Bremmer said it would 'definitely' last a year. (His same answer called six more months the best-case minimum, which roughly matched, but the headline claim of a year did not.)

Evidence:

• https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zero-COVID