Ian Bremmer

The Russia-Ukraine war will not end soon; it will last much longer (still going about two years later, mid-2024).

“This is I think a war for the duration for a much longer period of time.”

Said on

1 June 2022 · GZERO 'Ask Ian' / World In :60, answering whether the West can coax an end to the war soon ('I don't think so'); no window given, inferred as about two years

Source

More Russia-NATO confrontation ahead in Ukraine war · GZERO Media

Should come true

by 2024

How sure they sounded

I think

Categories

Geopolitics

Importance

4 of 5 · The duration of Europe's largest war since 1945 shapes global security and energy markets.

Outcome

Accurate

No window stated; scored against about two years. The war was still being fought in mid-2024 with no ceasefire or peace deal.

Evidence:

• https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine
• https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peace_negotiations_in_the_Russo-Ukrainian_war_(2022%E2%80%93present)