Ian Bremmer

In 2023 Russia will escalate against NATO countries through asymmetric attacks: cyber, cable and pipeline sabotage, disinformation and espionage.

“And so, the outcome is likely to be that Putin's going to escalate. An escalation means that the war is increasingly going to hit NATO, asymmetric attacks, cyber, fiber, pipeline, disinformation, espionage.”

Said on

3 January 2023 · Video remarks explaining 'Rogue Russia', Eurasia Group's top risk for 2023 ('what's going to happen in 2023?'); GZERO page dated 2023-06-29 but the remarks accompany the January 2023 Top Risks launch

Source

Ian Bremmer: Why Rogue Russia was predicted as Eurasia Group's 2023's top risk · GZERO Media

Should come true

2023

How sure they sounded

likely; going to

Categories

Geopolitics

Importance

4 of 5 · Russian hybrid attacks on NATO raise the risk of a wider war in Europe.

Outcome

Accurate

European and NATO officials reported a surge in suspected Russian sabotage, cyber and espionage operations in 2023, including the October 2023 Balticconnector gas pipeline and cable damage and a Russian-linked rail-sabotage spy ring broken up in Poland.

Evidence:

• https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_sabotage_operations_in_Europe