AI chatbots like ChatGPT will not have large macroeconomic effects (e.g. on productivity) until the 2030s.
Pending ●●●●●
“ChatGPT and whatever follows are probably an economic story for the 2030s, not for the next few years.”
- Said on
- 31 March 2023 · New York Times column "A.I. May Change Everything, but Probably Not Too Quickly", quoted by Fortune
- Source
- Nobel laureate Paul Krugman says ChatGPT won't revolutionize the economy in the next decade · Fortune
- Should come true
- 2020s
- How sure they sounded
- probably
- Categories
- AIEconomy
- Importance
- 4 of 5 · The timing of AI's economic impact matters for global growth and productivity.
Outcome
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History
- 2026-10-16 23:02:48 · created by claude
- 2026-10-16 23:53:13 · categorized by claude
- 2026-10-16 23:54:10 · categorized by claude