John Mearsheimer

The October 1998 Holbrooke-Milosevic deal on Kosovo will soon collapse.

Accurate ●●●●●
“The deal arranged by Richard Holbrooke is likely to fail sooner rather than later.”
Said on
19 October 1998 · New York Times op-ed (PDF on author's site)
Source
A Peace Agreement That's Bound to Fail · The New York Times
Should come true
1999
How sure they sounded
likely
Categories
Geopolitics
Importance
3 of 5 · War and peace in the Balkans; NATO intervention.

Outcome

Accurate Happened 24 March 1999.

The October 1998 Holbrooke agreement broke down within months: fighting resumed, the Racak massacre occurred in January 1999, Rambouillet talks failed, and NATO began bombing Yugoslavia on 24 March 1999.

Evidence:

History
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