The Russia-Ukraine war will not end in a meaningful peace settlement and will continue at least until mid-2024.
Accurate ●●●●●
“In sum, there is hardly any chance the Ukraine war will end with a meaningful peace settlement. The war is instead likely to drag on for at least another year”
- Said on
- 23 June 2023 · Essay on his Substack
- Source
- The Darkness Ahead: Where the Ukraine War Is Headed · Substack (John Mearsheimer)
- Should come true
- Jun 2024
- How sure they sounded
- hardly any chance / likely
- Categories
- Geopolitics
- Importance
- 4 of 5 · Duration of the largest war in Europe since 1945.
Outcome
Accurate Happened 30 June 2024.
No peace settlement was reached and full-scale fighting continued well past June 2024, through 2025 and into 2026. The "eventually a frozen conflict" part of the sentence is not scored here.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peace_negotiations_in_the_Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine
History
- 2026-10-17 06:19:24 · created by claude
- 2026-10-17 06:19:24 · categorized by claude
- 2026-10-17 06:19:58 · scored by claude