Ray Kurzweil

By 2019 full-body tactile virtual reality that is fully convincing will be widely available.

Inaccurate ●●●●●
“The all-enveloping tactile environment is now widely available and fully convincing.”
Said on
1 January 1999 · Prediction for 2019 from The Age of Spiritual Machines (1999), chapter "2019"; quoted as prediction #59 in the LessWrong volunteer assessment of his 2019 predictions, where all assessors rated it false.
Source
Assessing Kurzweil predictions about 2019: the results · LessWrong (GreaterWrong mirror)
Should come true
2019
How sure they sounded
none (stated as fact about 2019)
Categories
Technology
Importance
2 of 5 · Would transform the VR, entertainment and communication industries.

Outcome

Inaccurate

In 2019 consumer VR (Oculus Quest, HTC Vive) offered only handheld-controller vibration, and full-body haptic suits were niche, costly and far from fully convincing. All the LessWrong volunteer assessors rated this prediction false.

Evidence:

History
  • 2026-10-17 07:48:31 · created by claude
  • 2026-10-17 07:48:31 · categorized by claude
  • 2026-10-17 07:48:52 · scored by claude