Eric Schmidt

China will have caught up with the United States in artificial intelligence by 2020.

“By 2020, they will have caught up.”

Said on

1 November 2017 · CNAS Artificial Intelligence and Global Security Summit, Washington

Source

China Will Surpass US in AI Around 2025, Says Google's Eric Schmidt · Defense One

Should come true

2020

How sure they sounded

will (stated as fact)

Categories

AIGeopolitics

Importance

4 of 5 · US-China AI leadership has major global economic and security consequences.

Outcome

Partly right

Mixed result at end of 2020: the Center for Data Innovation's January 2021 update found the US still held a substantial overall lead, but China led on adoption and data, and Stanford's AI Index 2021 reported China overtook the US in AI journal citations in 2020. China caught up on some measures but not overall, so partial rather than accurate or inaccurate.

Evidence:

• https://datainnovation.org/2021/01/who-is-winning-the-ai-race-china-the-eu-or-the-united-states-2021-update/
• https://aiindex.stanford.edu/ai-index-report-2021/