Vinod Khosla

By 2049, AI will be capable of doing 80% of the work in 80% of all jobs.

“I estimate that over the next 25 years, possibly 80% of 80% of all jobs, can be done by an AI”

Said on

20 September 2024 · Essay "AI: Dystopia or Utopia?" on the Khosla Ventures website

Source

AI: Dystopia or Utopia? · Khosla Ventures

Should come true

2049

How sure they sounded

I estimate, possibly

Categories

AIEconomy

Importance

5 of 5 · AI able to do most work in most jobs would remake labor and economies everywhere.

Outcome

Unresolvable

The quote says "possibly 80% of 80% of all jobs", framing the outcome as a possibility rather than a forecast. Under the hedging rule a "possibly" statement is not scored as a prediction, so this is marked unresolvable.

Evidence:

• https://khoslaventures.com/ai-dystopia-or-utopia/