Predictions
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Pending ●●●●●
“By 2050, it'll be very clear that nobody needs jobs because with enough production of goods and services that are near free, you won't need jobs.”
Said 17 Feb 2026 · Target: 2050
EconomyAI
Pending ●●●●●
“By 2030, there will be no such thing as IT services or BPO, they will be gone.”
Said 17 Feb 2026 · Target: 2030
EconomyAI
Pending ●●●●●
“One of my predictions is the 2030s will see a faster rate of demise of Fortune 500 companies than we've ever seen”
Said 1 Jul 2025 · Target: 2030s
EconomyAI
Pending ●●●●●
“almost everybody in the 2030s will have a humanoid robot at home”
Said 1 Jul 2025 · Target: 2030s
TechnologyAI
Pending ●●●●●
“Within the next five years, any economically valuable job humans can do, AI will be able to do 80% of it”
Said 1 Jul 2025 · Target: 2030
AIEconomy
Pending ●●●●●
“I think what I would say is this business of bipedal robots or some equivalent like that in various form factors and configurations will be larger than the auto industry within 20 years.”
Said 11 Mar 2025 · Target: 2045
TechnologyAI
Unresolvable ●●●●●
“I estimate that over the next 25 years, possibly 80% of 80% of all jobs, can be done by an AI”
Said 20 Sep 2024 · Target: 2049
AIEconomy
Pending ●●●●●
“I'm almost certain, within the next 10-15 years, we can have free doctors for everybody on the planet, or near-free, with the cost of computing”
Said 20 Jun 2024 · Target: 2039
HealthAI
Pending ●●●●●
“Within 5 to 6 years, the FDA will approve a primary care app qualified to practice medicine like your primary care physician”
Said 3 May 2023 · Target: 2029
HealthAI
Pending ●●●●●
“I doubt very much if within 10-15 years … I won’t be able to ask Siri’s great great grandchild (Version 9.0?) for an opinion far more accurate than the one I get today”
Said 10 Jan 2012 · Target: 2027
HealthAI
Inaccurate ●●●●●
“I so believe that $1.25 or cheaper cellulosic ethanol is less than three years away”
Said 23 Jan 2007 · Target: Jan 2010
EnergyClimate
Right, but late ●●●●●
“So, my guess is, if we're lucky, we'll have commercial-scale plants in three years. If we're very unlucky, it will be six.”
Said 9 Dec 2006 · Target: 2012
EnergyClimate
Inaccurate ●●●●●
“Based on my forecasts, including the considerable upside afforded by technology innovations, biomass based ethanol can replace most of our gasoline needs in twenty years”
Said 16 May 2006 · Target: 2026
EnergyClimate