Bill McKibben

The record daily global average temperature set on 4 July 2023 will be broken within weeks, and broken again in summer 2024.

Accurate ●●●●●
“if Tuesday’s record isn’t broken today, it will almost certainly fall in the next few weeks, and then again next summer”
Said on
5 July 2023 · The Crucial Years newsletter, "No Human Has Ever Seen it Hotter"
Source
No Human Has Ever Seen it Hotter · The Crucial Years (Substack)
Should come true
Sep 2024
How sure they sounded
almost certainly
Categories
Climate
Importance
2 of 5 · Short-term climate record milestone

Outcome

Accurate Happened 22 July 2024.

The 4 July 2023 daily global record (Climate Reanalyzer) was surpassed within days (6 July 2023), and Copernicus reported a new all-time daily global average record on 22 July 2024, beating the July 2023 peak. 2024 also became the first calendar year above 1.5°C.

Evidence:

History
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