Predictions
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Pending ●●●●●
“I think it is very likely that we’re going to temporarily cross the two degree line during the hottest phase of the now-developing El Niño”
Said 7 Sep 2026 · Target: 2027
Climate
Pending ●●●●●
“My prediction would be that electric prices are going to be to the 2026 election what egg prices were to the 2024 election”
Said 18 Jan 2026 · Target: 3 Nov 2026
ElectionsPoliticsEnergy
Pending ●●●●●
“Prediction: the federal government won’t be able to find private parties to put up serious money for this project. It will be a taxpayer-financed boondoggle if it happens at all”
Said 26 Dec 2025 · Target: 2027
EnergyPolitics
Accurate ●●●●●
“85% of new electric generation in 2023 came from renewables, and the numbers for 2024 will almost certainly be higher.”
Said 13 Feb 2025 · Target: 2024
EnergyClimate
Pending ●●●●●
“But here’s my prediction: this will be one of the first large oilfields that humans decide to leave in the ground because of climate concerns.”
Said 29 Aug 2024 · Target: 2029
EnergyPoliticsClimate
Accurate ●●●●●
“I think there’s little question this is emerging as the most important question for international climate talks—it will dominate this year’s COP in Baku”
Said 11 Jun 2024 · Target: 24 Nov 2024
ClimateGeopolitics
Accurate ●●●●●
“if Tuesday’s record isn’t broken today, it will almost certainly fall in the next few weeks, and then again next summer”
Said 5 Jul 2023 · Target: Sep 2024
Climate
Accurate ●●●●●
“Chances are growing that the air temperature will set a new record this year; if not, then almost certainly next.”
Said 25 May 2023 · Target: 2024
Climate
Partly right ●●●●●
“Germany has demonstrated that it’s doable. They’re going to be at 65% renewable energy within ten years or so, which is almost unbelievable.”
Said 10 Dec 2012 · Target: 2024
EnergyClimate