Pending ●●●●●
The S&P 500 will reach 10,000 by the end of 2029.
“Nevertheless, for now, we are sticking with our 10,000 target for the S&P 500 by the end of 2029,”Markets
Ed Yardeni
President of Yardeni Research; Wall Street economist and market strategist
Market strategistEconomist9predictions
4pending
4accurate
0late or partial
1inaccurate
80%accuracy
Predictions
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Pending ●●●●●
S&P 500 operating earnings per share will be about $310 for calendar 2026, up from $268 in 2025.
“We expect that S&P 500 companies' collective earnings per share will increase from $268 this year to $310 next year,”Markets
Pending ●●●●●
The S&P 500 will reach 7,700 by the end of 2026.
“We are still targeting 7700 by the end of next year.”Markets
Accurate ●●●●●
The S&P 500 will reach 6,600 by the end of 2025 (with 7,700 targeted for the end of 2026).
“This is why we're sticking with our S&P 500 targets — 6,600 by the end of 2025 and 7,700 by the end of next year.”Markets
Pending ●●●●●
The S&P 500 will reach 8,000 by the end of the decade (end of 2029).
“We are still targeting 8000 by the end of the decade.”Markets
Accurate ●●●●●
The S&P 500 will reach 5,800 by the end of 2024.
“We are raising our yearend target for the S&P 500 to 5800 from 5400.”Markets
Accurate ●●●●●
The bull market will continue through at least end-2024, with the S&P 500 setting a new record high between 4,800 and 5,400 within 18 months of July 2023.
“We see the bull market that started on October 12, 2022, continuing through at least the end of next year with the S&P 500 reaching a new record high somewhere between 4,800 and 5,400 over the next 18 months”Markets
Accurate ●●●●●
In 2023 the US will avoid an economy-wide recession (seeing only a rolling, sector-by-sector one), and the stock bear market will not continue.
“We're more optimistic, expecting no broad-based recession but a rolling one, no continued bear market in stocks”EconomyMarkets
Inaccurate ●●●●●
Yardeni put a 70% probability on a Y2K-triggered worldwide recession starting in January 2000, lasting about 12 months and as severe as the 1973-74 global recession.
“Currently, I believe there is a 70 percent chance of such a worldwide recession, which could last 12 months starting in January 2000 and could be as severe as the 1973-74 global recession.”Economy