Former US Treasury Secretary (2021-2025) and Federal Reserve Chair (2014-2018)
PolicymakerEconomistSort: newest · most important · target date
“I would expect inflation, on a year-over-year basis of this year, to shoot up to at least 3%, or slightly over, because of the tariffs”EconomyPolitics
“My baseline is that we'll achieve a soft landing.”Economy
“I think when we come to the end of 2024, 2 is certainly, you know, likely to be the first numeral.”Economy
“Well, I believe by the end of next year you will see much lower inflation. if there's not-- an unanticipated shock.”Economy
“Sometime during the second half of the year we'll see inflation rates moving back toward the 2% that we regard as normal.”Economy
“I expect that next year, many of the supply bottlenecks that we're experiencing now in opening up our economy will recede”Economy
“Well, I expect that to happen next year.”Economy
“Yes. I am confident that what we need to do to come into compliance with the minimum tax will be included in a reconciliation package.”PoliticsEconomy
“I expect it to last, however, for several more months and to see high annual rates of inflation through the end of this year”Economy
“Well, I would expect that, if this package is passed, that we would get back to full employment next year.”EconomyPolitics
“But my baseline is I don’t see a recession, I don’t think it’s likely. And I expect them to stay on hold during the year.”Economy
“My best guess is that these soft readings will not persist, and with the ongoing strengthening of labor markets, I expect inflation to move higher next year.”Economy
“I hope that it will not be in our lifetimes and I don't believe it will be”BankingEconomy