Pending ●●●●●
US inflation for 2026 will be between 2% and 2.5%.
“As a result, the inflation outlook looks quite good for 2026. We would be between 2% and 2.5%, which is very close to the Fed target.”Economy
Jeremy Siegel
Wharton finance professor; author of Stocks for the Long Run
EconomistMarket strategist11predictions
1pending
4accurate
1late or partial
5inaccurate
45%accuracy
Predictions
Sort: newest · most important · target date
Accurate ●●●●●
US stocks will deliver strong gains in calendar year 2023.
“I think 2023 is going to be a very good year for equities.”Markets
Inaccurate ●●●●●
The Federal Reserve will begin cutting the federal funds rate by mid-2023 (June 30, 2023).
“I think the Fed will start bringing down the funds rate by mid-year 2023.”BankingEconomy
Accurate ●●●●●
US consumer prices will rise about 20% cumulatively over the three to four years from May 2021 (by May 2025).
“I believe in the next three, four years cumulatively we're going to have 20% inflation”Economy
Right, but late ●●●●●
The Dow Jones Industrial Average will reach 20,000 during 2016.
“I definitely think we will see Dow 20,000 in 2016”Markets
Inaccurate ●●●●●
The Federal Reserve will raise interest rates at its September 2015 meeting.
“I think after the Fed moves—and I do think they are going to move in September—and the world doesn't end”BankingEconomy
Accurate ●●●●●
The Dow Jones Industrial Average will rise above 18,000 within six to seven weeks of November 11, 2014 (by about December 30, 2014).
“I believe the next six or seven weeks are going to take us beyond 18,000 on the Dow”Markets
Accurate ●●●●●
The Dow Jones Industrial Average will reach 15,000 by the end of 2013.
“Going to the 15,000 level, which a few months ago people were very skeptical of that, we’re talking about the end of 2013. … Odds are 3-to-2-to-1 on that”Markets
Inaccurate ●●●●●
The Fed will cut the federal funds rate to about 3.5% and then begin raising it in the second half of 2008.
“I believe that the Fed will get rates down to 3.5%, before ratcheting them upward in the second half of next year.”BankingEconomy
Inaccurate ●●●●●
The US stock market will post a gain for calendar year 2008.
“I think the stock market will have another winning year in 2008.”Markets
Inaccurate ●●●●●
The US economy will avoid a recession in 2008, with real GDP growth of 1.5% to 2.5% for the year.
“Overall I expect 1.5% to 2.5% GDP growth in 2008 and I believe the economy will avoid a recession.”Economy