Eric Schmidt

Within a year (by mid-2025), AI systems with very large context windows, AI agents and text-to-action capabilities will arrive.

“In the next year, you're going to see very large context windows, agents, and text to action. When they are delivered at scale, it's going to have an impact on the world at a scale that no one understands yet”

Said on

1 May 2024 · Guest talk in Stanford ECON295/CS323 (spring quarter 2024, exact day unknown; video posted Aug 2024). Statement date approximated.

Source

Former Google CEO Eric Schmidt's Controversial Stanford Interview: A Deep Dive into AI's Future · Forward Future

Should come true

2025

How sure they sounded

you're going to see

Categories

AITechnology

Importance

3 of 5 · Agentic AI with long context matters across the software industry and beyond.

Outcome

Accurate Happened 5 April 2025.

Within about a year, all three arrived: OpenAI launched its Operator computer-using agent in January 2025, and Meta's Llama 4 Scout (April 2025) offered a 10-million-token context window; coding and action-taking agents became widely available. The vague second sentence about world impact is not scored.

Evidence:

• https://openai.com/index/introducing-operator/
• https://ai.meta.com/blog/llama-4-multimodal-intelligence/