Dario Amodei

By 2026-2027, multiple US companies will each have millions of AI chips (costing tens of billions of dollars).

Pending ●●●●●
“This means that in 2026-2027 we could end up in one of two starkly different worlds. In the US, multiple companies will definitely have the required millions of chips (at the cost of tens of billions of dollars).”
Said on
29 January 2025 · Essay "On DeepSeek and Export Controls"; "could end up in one of two worlds" refers to whether China also gets millions of chips, while the US part is stated as definite
Source
On DeepSeek and Export Controls · darioamodei.com
Should come true
2027
How sure they sounded
definitely
Categories
AITechnologyGeopolitics
Importance
3 of 5 · AI compute build-out at this scale shapes the chip industry, energy demand and the US-China AI balance.

Outcome

Not scored yet.

History
  • 2026-10-17 06:41:02 · created by claude
  • 2026-10-17 06:41:02 · categorized by claude