Pending ●●●●●
Within several years (by about 2030), most glasses people wear will be AI glasses.
“It's hard to imagine a world in several years where most glasses that people wear aren't AI glasses.”TechnologyAI
Mark Zuckerberg
Co-founder and CEO of Meta (Facebook)
Tech leaderBusiness leader16predictions
6pending
3accurate
3late or partial
1inaccurate
64%accuracy
Predictions
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Pending ●●●●●
Context-aware AI glasses will become people's primary computing devices, replacing phones (no date given; inferred long-run window of about 10 years, to 2035).
“Personal devices like glasses that understand our context because they can see what we see, hear what we hear, and interact with us throughout the day will become our primary computing devices.”TechnologyAI
Pending ●●●●●
By late October 2026, most of the code for Meta's AI (Llama) research efforts will be written by AI.
“I would guess that sometime in the next 12 to 18 months, we'll reach the point where most of the code that's going toward these efforts is written by AI.”AITechnology
Unresolvable ●●●●●
By about April 2026, roughly half of Meta's (Llama) software development will be done by AI rather than people.
“our bet is sort of that in the next year... maybe half the development is going to be done by AI as opposed to people”AITechnology
Pending ●●●●●
Threads will become the leading online discussion platform and reach 1 billion users within the next several years.
“I expect Threads to continue on its trajectory to become the leading discussion platform and eventually reach 1 billion people over the next several years.”Technology
Partly right ●●●●●
During 2025 it will become possible to build an AI engineering agent with the coding and problem-solving ability of a good mid-level software engineer.
“I also expect that 2025 will be the year when it becomes possible to build an AI engineering agent that has coding and problem-solving abilities of around a good mid-level engineer.”AITechnology
Accurate ●●●●●
In 2025, a personalized AI assistant (expected to be Meta AI) will reach more than 1 billion people.
“In AI, I expect this is going to be the year when a highly intelligent and personalized AI assistant reaches more than 1 billion people, and I expect Meta AI to be that leading AI assistant.”AI
Partly right ●●●●●
By the end of 2024, Meta AI will be the most used AI assistant in the world.
“We had a strong quarter, and Meta AI is on track to be the most used AI assistant in the world by the end of the year”AITechnology
Inaccurate ●●●●●
During 2025, Meta's Llama models will become the most advanced AI models in the industry.
“Starting next year, we expect future Llama models to become the most advanced in the industry.”AI
Unresolvable ●●●●●
By the end of 2031, the metaverse will reach a billion people and host hundreds of billions of dollars of digital commerce.
“Our hope is that within the next decade, the metaverse will reach a billion people, host hundreds of billions of dollars of digital commerce, and support jobs for millions of creators and developers.”TechnologyEconomy
Pending ●●●●●
By the end of 2029, Meta's VR headsets will be clearly better than laptops and computers for almost every use case.
“By the end of this decade or even by the middle of the decade, I would guess that we're going to reach a point where our VR devices will start to be clearly better for almost every use case than our laptops and computers are.”Technology
Unresolvable ●●●●●
By May 2030, about half of Facebook/Meta's employees will be working remotely on a permanent basis.
“But I think that it's possible that over the next five to 10 years — maybe closer to 10 than five, but somewhere in that range — I think we could get to about half of the company working remotely permanently.”EconomyTechnology
Pending ●●●●●
Breakthrough augmented reality glasses that redefine how people use technology will arrive before the end of 2029.
“at some point in the 2020s, we will get breakthrough augmented reality glasses that will redefine our relationship with technology.”Technology
Accurate ●●●●●
After the January 2018 News Feed changes favoring friends and family, time spent on Facebook and some engagement measures will decline (inferred window: 2018).
“By making these changes, I expect the time people spend on Facebook and some measures of engagement will go down.”Technology
Partly right ●●●●●
By April 2021, most of the content people see and share on Facebook day to day will be video.
“I wouldn't be surprised if you fast-forward five years and most of the content that people see on Facebook and are sharing on a day-to-day basis is video.”Technology
Accurate ●●●●●
WhatsApp, then at about 450 million monthly users, will reach 1 billion users (inferred window: about 2 years).
“WhatsApp is on a path to connect 1 billion people.”Technology